How to beat the bookmaker mathematically
Sports betting is a risk. But there are strategies that significantly increase the effectiveness of betting. If you learn how to properly manage your game bank and use logic in well-thought-out strategic schemes, then you can beat the bookmaker. The main thing is to carefully prepare and study existing techniques.
Is it possible to win at the bookmaker?
There is a popular misconception – bookmakers always win. But this is not so, the algorithm of bookmakers is designed so that the bookmaker does not go into the red. And if the player learns to choose sports events successfully and use win-win strategies, he will be able to beat the betting shop.
There are three ways that you can use to beat bookmakers:
- Relying on your luck is an unreliable and unstable way.
- Using a smart approach to bank management is a mathematically complex way that requires a detailed calculation of risks and potential rewards.
- Choosing ready-made strategies is a universal technique, suitable for beginners and experienced players.
There is also a fourth option, but it does not always work. You can entrust your account to a capper who knows his job and uses proven betting strategies. In this case, you will have to share the winnings – pay a fee to the capper, who was able to increase the original bank.
What is a strategy
In betting, a strategy is a combination of steps and actions aimed at obtaining the maximum win or increasing the percentage of the probability of passing bets. The betting strategy helps to make the game more interesting in the eyes of the capper, but it does not give a 100% guarantee of winning.
What is the difference between strategy and analytics
Strategic moves are more focused on the game, while analytics focuses on the sporting event and its participants. But the use of strategies does not eliminate the need for analytics. On the contrary, if you follow the ratings, standings, compare the previous successes of the teams, you can increase the effectiveness of the strategies.
Types of strategies
There are over 30 popular strategies that can be used in betting. But not all of them give results. Therefore, you need to act according to the situation and select suitable events, bank amounts under your conditions. Methods for winning at bookmakers are conditionally divided into two types.
Bank management strategies
These are combinations based on the correct management of the game account funds. How a player calculates his financial risks, how and how much he bets, how he calculates the coefficients and the degree of risk, his success depends. The main task of such strategies is to avoid complete loss, bankruptcy. Therefore, in the sound management of the bank, impulsive bets, an ill-considered choice of events, and the use of the entire amount of the account at once are prohibited.
Here are the main varieties of bank management strategies:
- Calculation and use of interest from the initial amount of the bank;
- Danish system;
- Kelly criterion;
- Flat – the use of a fixed amount for each bet;
- Fixed profit calculation.
For those who play big, there is another calculation strategy – a series of numbers. Proper account management involves the use of minimum amounts for high risk betting and large bets on events with a predictable outcome.
How to beat bookmaker: strategies
To understand how the strategy works, you need to do two things. The first is to study the theoretical part, read the rules and find out about the presence of “pitfalls”, the second is to implement it by following the instructions. You can choose different strategic combinations, as well as combine them. A detailed description of all the popular methods that will help you beat the bookmaker is below.
The Monty Hall Paradox
For the first time this principle was used and explained to the general public in one of the reality shows. There, the participants were asked to choose one of three doors, behind which were different prizes. There was a car behind one door, that is, the probability of winning was 33.3%. The two remaining doors concealed small consolation prizes. When the participant decided on the choice of the door, the leader opened one of those two, behind which the consolation prizes were hidden, and offered to change the decision. Those participants who changed their mind won more often than those who remained true to their original choice.
To beat the bookmaker using this strategy, you need to choose only Live events in which “one door is already open”. That is, choose those events in which there are already first results, which means there is a higher chance of winning. But increasing the probability of making a profit is not a guarantee of winning.
Martingale Method
This strategy is an improved overtaking model, but it has its own differences. In short, the essence of this method is to systematically increase the amount of bets, which means that to play with this strategy, you also need a large amount on your account. Each subsequent bet increases by 2 times. In addition, there is one more requirement – you need to choose events or express bets, where the bookmaker sets the odds above 2.
Flat: classic and progressive
The most popular and understandable strategy for beginners is flat. There are two versions of the game according to this method – classic and progressive. The first option is used in bets more often, as it is recognized as more reliable and safe, it allows you to save the main bank and restore it even in the event of a series of failures.
The scheme of the game according to the classic flat method is as follows – the player takes 5% of the initial amount that he allocated for the game and bets on the selected event with any odds. Each subsequent event plays with 5% of the original bank, even if the amount in the account grows. Consider an example of three events at the initial bank.
Summarize
All strategies involve risk, although they increase the chances of winning and streamline the game. You should not consider gaming strategies as a guarantee of profit. This is just a reasonable approach to playing in bookmakers and the ability to control the bank.